Posted by EBBS on 17/3/2020, 2:52 pm, in reply to "Re: Recovery Rate"
Get that I think. A number of cases are still awaiting an outcome. Some of those unresolved will sadly perish and others will recover. You therefore can't know the genuine outcome until all cases are resolved. That may move the 8% up, down(hopefully) or stay constant at 8%. However you also don't know the number of those infected who were never tested and so there is another unresolved factor which will only ever move the 8% downwards. It also makes sense that those coming forward to be tested are more likely to be in the at risk category or tested because they have presented seriously unwell or already in care.
I guess we'll never know , but I note that in the UK we publish the numbers who die from seasonal fuel but not a mortality rate, presumably for a similar reason I.e. you can only have a guess at one of the figures in the equation.