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Your numbers are not correct from the standpoint that less than 20% of people that contract the virus will ever need medical attention. So if 21,000 have tested positive, you can assume over 100,000 people have contracted it, putting the death rate closer to .2%. When you factor in the fact that the test has a 10% error rate, (meaning 1 in 10 tested would receive incorrect results either being told they are negative when they are positive, or vice versa). So the numbers can very greatly regarding the death rate from .4% down to .05%).