The Yellow Board

Updated Covid poll

Posted by Me on 1/5/2021, 4:36 pm

Now that we are through the holidays, how did things change from the last poll. My wife currently has it. Please participate!!

Also: if you know someone suffering, in the hospital or a music educator who has passed away from Covid, please mention their names so we can pray for them and honor their names. 🙏

Re: Updated Covid poll

Posted by OP on 1/7/2021, 2:41 pm, in reply to "Updated Covid poll"

Almost 29%, it has gotten worse

Re: Updated Covid poll

Posted by Interesting on 1/12/2021, 3:30 pm, in reply to "Re: Updated Covid poll"

If you listen to the doctors that say that actual rate is significantly higher (10x or more) than those that actually test because of asymptomatic or extremely mild symptoms the number of directors that have had it is pretty close to what the researchers say.

Re: Updated Covid poll

Posted by Scientific on 1/6/2021, 10:47 am, in reply to "Updated Covid poll"

I know it isn't scientific but very interesting at the overwhelming number of people in the classroom that have NOT had it.

Re: Updated Covid poll

Posted by DesertJazz on 1/6/2021, 3:44 pm, in reply to "Re: Updated Covid poll"

Verified cases are currently 6.49% of the Texas population. I would hazard an educated guess that may be as high as 20%, but all we can say for certain is the actual reported cases. (This poll tracks within that margin) That means that yes the majority have not had it. The problem is going to be these next few weeks I think.

If you look at it as the Lily Pad problem I think it makes the most sense why this could be a bigger problem. If you start with a Lily Pad or two that double every day in population, and completely cover the pond at the 50th day, at what day is 50% of the pond covered?

The 49th Day. Sometimes exponential growth doesn't seem that bad until you're actually in the worst of it. We're getting potentially to that point here. If we can make it through until vaccinations without hitting that rate I would be personally quite happy! We've been increasing in cases about 1.3% per day, so it's been slower. The question of course will be Christmas and New Years. Based on the mobility data from UT I don't have a lot of hope for that being anything other than an explosion of cases coming our way very soon.

Re: Updated Covid poll

Posted by You said on 1/7/2021, 1:22 pm, in reply to "Re: Updated Covid poll"

You said the same thing back in June didn't you using the lily pad problem? Look at 9 months worth of data. It has its peaks and valleys. Everyone knew there would be a peak after Christmas and New Years just like everyone knew after 3 months of staying home it would open up in June when people quit staying home....

Re: Updated Covid poll

Posted by Iron Man on 1/6/2021, 3:23 pm, in reply to "Re: Updated Covid poll"

My dr told me that most teachers have an Iron Man like immune system due to constant exposure from kids! I know that doesn't apply to everyone, but I think there is some truth to that idea. Also those in retail sales/customer service, healthcare, etc that deal with a lot of the general public everyday !

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