Ok can someone explain these numbers. Virus started in Wuhan, a heavily populated city in China where by definition for the first month maybe infected people would have mingled and passed on the highly contagious virus without any containment efforts because at the time they didnt even know it existed. Its grown there exponentially over the last three months as it's the "epicentre" of the virus.
It's obviously got out around the world now, but we knew it was coming and we did have some containment plans in place which in theory should minimise the impact.
The spread of the virus in China and Wuhan in particular has slowed over the last week with the number of daily cases dropping. Nevertheless instances there top 90,000, so its nasty. Now if its started slowing then cases will continue to go up but at a reduced rate hopefully bottoming out to zero at some stage. Let's assume it doubles there over the next 3 months, pessimistic if its slowing, that's 200,000 at the very epicentre. How in God's name therefore can we have predictions of 80% of the population here?. That's over 50 million!!!.
I'm no medical expert but those numbers dont make any sense given the numbers in China and smacks of sensationalism. You can bet the first person to die from it here will be first up on the 6 0 clock news regardless of the fact they may be 92 and have been suffering from emphysema for 40 years. What about all those who sadly pass from common garden seasonal flu every year?, no mention.