However, it is difficult to see how any government could ignore the will of Parliament so brazenly, and thus an extension is *almost* inevitable.
But that is dependent on A) the Commons voting for that tomorrow, and B) the EU27 accepting it. The Commons will vote for an extension, but the EU wonít grant one unless there are some material changes to what the British ask for.
Realistically, Mayís government cannot pivot towards a customs union type deal, because the government will just collapse. Likewise if it attempts to make no deal official policy.
May will likely attempt to bring back the deal for a third time. It would be a disgraceful move, but this government has no shame, and it may just bounce enough MPs into voting for it. However, the Speaker could, rightly, reject a third attempt, and frankly it is against parliamentary convention to bring the deal back again.
Really, the only options thus are, in order of probable likelihood: a crashout which brings down the government and leads to a genuine national crisis, of the proportions we havenít seen in decades; a general election and A50 extension; a second referendum; a lengthy A50 extension granted by the EU but with no clear path; or complete unilateral revocation of A50. Itís the nuclear option, but there is some logic, even if you support the hardest of Brexits, to cancelling the whole thing and just pressing reset for a while.
In any circumstance, it is very difficult to see the government surviving, but thatís not really the issue here. Much as Labour and anyone else can bang on about other things, this has reached proper crisis levels now, and needs sorting above all else. But in the end, only one of the Remainers and Hard Brexiters can be right about the eventual outcome. Iím unsure on which at present.
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