If we get a similar group to 2014 (England, Italy, Uruguay, Costa Rica) I'd expect us to go out at that stage.
If we get similar group to 2010 (England, Algeria, USA, Slovenia) I'd expect us to qualify.
Either way, as soon as we come up against a half-decent side we'll be found out.
But, FWIW, I'm quite enjoying Southgate's honest appraisal of the squad. He knows they're not all that and hasn't tried to pretend otherwise. Whether or not he's the leader to drive through changes in English football, I'm not sure.
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