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Posted by Todd on 3/1/2004, 8:02 pm, in reply to "Analyzing breakouut hitters" I would suggest using the K/BB ratios more rigidly with young and/or unproven hitters. Also use them to help evaluate veteran hitters who you are looking to pick up/trade for/get rid of. If a veteran player looks to be performing well, check to make sure his BB/K ratio is consistent with past years. If a veteran player on your team is struggling, check the K/BB ratio. If it looks similar to past years, give him some more time.....if it looks too much worse than normal, you may want to think about looking to trade him. Clearly, this is just one factor among many, and looking at players like Alfonso Soriano, it doesn't always predict success. However, it is a pretty good guideline for when you are evaluating the potential success of a given player. One other thing to look at for RBIs, that many people in your league may not think about, is the OBP of the players ahead of the player you are looking at. If you have 2 guys with identical stats last year, and want to know who will get more RBIs this year, check who will be batting in front of them. The guy who has better OBP in front of him will have more guys on base when he bats, and therefore should have more RBI opportunities. Does this always work out? Probably not, but it gives you a statistical advantage that you will pick the right guy. I hope others will feel free to add to these and/or correct me if I have mis-stated something!! --Previous Message--
A big thing to look at is BB and K. You want guys who are not striking out very much, and have walk totals as close to their K totals as possible. Obviously, many power hitters strike out a lot, so in that case, you again want their walk totals to be close to their K totals. This can be a good thing to look at when a surprise hitter gets off to a good start, or gets hot sometime during the season. Check to see how their BB/K ratio is. If it looks good, he may be able to keep it up.....if not, it could just be a short term fluke. There are exceptions to this, such as Marquis Grissom last year. He was undrafted in my league, but got onto a hot streak, so I picked him up to ride it for as long as I could. It ended up lasting pretty much the whole season, but he finished with 82 Ks and 20 BB. However, that ratio is pretty normal for Grissom in the past, so it wasn't something I worried as much about.
: Hi. I already had my draft & I think I did
: pretty well. As always though, I focused in
: on one catagory & forgot about the
: others. As a result, my infeild is horrible.
: I'm not asking for a roster analyzer. All I
: need are some key barometers for hitters, I
: just want to know how to look for the right
: FA's.
: Roto Catagories: R, HR, SB, RBI, AVG.
: Thank you.
:
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