Aside from that, I would concur with your four point criteria. However it can also be said that a team can have all of those things going for them, only to collapse once the All-Star Break rolls around. The same could be said about a team that looks awful on paper, starts off poorly, and then comes roaring back at the end of the regular season. Conceding the fact that going from last-to-first is tougher to do than first-to-last, both scenarios can and do happen more often than people recall. The 1951 pennant race involving the NY Giants & Brooklyn Dodgers is a classic example; NY was dead in the water on July 4...only to have the "Shot Heard Around the World" send them to the World Series. The collapse of the 1969 Cubs and the rise of the "Miracle Mets" is another one, and as I mentioned there are countless others throughout MLB history. And remember, those two examples were during the era of the Reserve Clause; there was no free agency to speak of, and in-season player trades were a lot less frequent...the roster you had on game 1 was almost always the roster you had on game 154 (or after 1963, 162).
You are certainly within your prerogative to write the season off...but like the other poster, I'm willing to give the Rangers a little bit more time before cutting losses.
: Apples and oranges.
: The standard to be a first division band
: doesn't change on a yearly basis. Baseball
: is a direct competition against other teams.
: Band is a competition against a standard.
: And yes, I am willing to write this season
: off - in terms of expecting playoffs, or any
: sort of success on that nature.
: The Rangers will have a successful season if
: they do at least four of the following.
: They MUST do at least one of the Gallo/Odor
: Find a starting pitcher from the farm system
: that can pitch 200+ innings and win 10
: Find a starting pitcher who will be under
: contract for the next three years and who
: can pitch into the 6th on a consistent
: Find a closer.
: Fix Roughned Odor and turn him into a real
: baseball player.
: Teach Joey Gallo how to hit anything but
: home runs.
: Find out what you have in the outfield. Can
: Mazara can be an answer in right field? Can
: DeShields can be an every-day player?
: Find someone to play third base, since
: Beltre's gone by August, just like Hamels is
: likely gone by the trade deadline.
: If they figure out ALL this stuff and only
: win 30 games, I'm a happy Rangers fan. If
: they make a playoff berth and none of these
: questions are answered, I'm not happy.
: --Previous Message--
: ...even if your outlook on the season is not
: optimistic, you are willing to write off the
: entire season after, what, 10 games...just
: over 5% of the season? That's akin to
: resigning yourself to a 4th Division at UIL
: in April when your band is sightreading a
: piece you just handed to them in December or
: January and they crack the first note.
: Wait until Memorial Day, then we'll talk
: about writing the Rangers off.
: --Previous Message--
: ..so the Rangers can lose 100 of 'em?
: Seriously. This is going to be one of the
: franchise's worst all time seasons. Rangers
: fans are staring down the barrel of a
: minimum 90 loss season, and 100 isn't out of
: the question.
: Of course - if you want to get GOOD in MLB,
: this is what has to happen. Chicago was
: awful for 4-5 years, now they're great.
: Houston was awful, now they're great. The
: Giants were good, now they're awful, and
: they'll be good again in a few years. The
: Royals were terrible for a generation, put
: together a few drafts, were great for a year
: or two, then fell back to earth. That's how
: it goes - it's cyclical. The Rangers were
: good-great about eight years ago to about
: three years ago, and now they need to
: The Yankees are the only team I can think of
: that manages to stay decent-to-good every
: year, and they have a payroll more than the
: bottom eight teams in MLB combined .
: Building through the draft takes time, a
: commitment to developing players, and a ton
: of patience, and an ownership willing to
: stick it out. Jose Altuve was
: cover-your-eyes awful at times as a rookie.
: He's the best player in baseball today.
: Being willing to wait and to pay is why
: Miami, Tampa, San Diego, et al never win.
: Their ownership won't pay the players to
: keep 'em, and won't wait long enough for 'em
: to develop properly.