Posted by Henri M
on 14/10/2009, 14:58:38, in reply to "Re: privilège du blanc "
85.145.85.203
That is true. But the immense popularity of an Obama shows how quick the electorate can change.
The 'popularity' of Wilders (17-19% of the votes, according of the polls) can also erode in one year time. He is not immune for what once popular politicians as Blair, Sarkozy or Zapatero have faced.
And he needs to win the provincial elections, he needa to win the general elections, then he needs a firm coalition in both Chambers for a qualified majority, then he has to wait a considerable time, at least until the next provincial and the next general elections, to get the same Constitution through the Chamber, with an addendum about the process which leads to the election of a new republican head of state.
It would be most remarkable a premier Wilders (17-19% of the electorate) and his multi-party coalition can survive or even win the two required elections to get new Chambers.
In the same time a fierce polarization will start about the form of state and parties with a clear pro-monarchy profile will clash with parties with a clear anti-monarchy profile.
This will lay a heavy mortgage on the Cabinet Wilders and paralyze his already wobbly four-five party coalition. So no one will be willing to burn his/her fingers to it.
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